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特朗普希望保护农民免受中国贸易影响 这可能会造成更大的问题
名词解释市场动态财经日历VPS
特朗普希望保护农民免受中国贸易影响 这可能会造成更大的问题
  美国总统唐纳德·特朗普(donald Trump)上周五表示，他希望保护美国农民免受中国胁的关税影响，最终可能会使美国与更多国家陷入贸易纠纷，这一贸易争端已波及全球市场，并令国际商界感到担忧。

专家们补充说，如果特朗普政府选择进一步补贴美国农民，这可能会引发对诸如欧盟和巴西等农产品主要出口国的报复性关税和补贴。

《经济学人智库》(economist Intelligence Unit)亚洲董事总经理兼首席经济学家西蒙·施洗德(Simon Baptist)表示，美国额外的农业补贴“让第三方卷入了这场纠纷，他们至少可以指望向世界贸易组织(wto)申诉。”

彼得森国际经济研究所(Peterson Institute for International Economics)高级研究员查德·鲍恩(Chad P. Bown)也发出了类似的警告。他在推特上说，对美国农民的额外补贴将使世界上最大的两个经济体之间的贸易紧张局势升级。

鲍恩表示，欧洲、加拿大、澳大利亚、巴西和阿根廷的农民“因特朗普补贴而遭受痛苦”，将要求他们的政府采取报复行动。

在世界舞台上，已经有关于美国农业的抱怨了。

中国官方媒体《环球时报》在上个月的社论中说，美国政府的补贴给了美国大豆农民在向中国销售产品方面的不公平竞争优势。随后，中国政府周三宣布对包括大豆在内的106个美国产品征收关税，这是美国对中国最具价值的农产品出口。

作为回应，特朗普在周四提出了额外价值1000亿美元的中国关税产品，并要求美国农业部长“利用他的广泛权力来实施保护我们的农民和农业利益的计划”。

美国农业部(U.S. Department of Agriculture)对路透社(Reuters)表示，特朗普总统发表声明后，首先需要“看到关税的反应和市场的反应”，以决定如何保护农民免受贸易冲突的影响。

特朗普毕竟不能真正的帮助农民。

专家表示，无论美国农业部最终提出何种措施，它们都不太可能有效，因为中国总能采取反措施。

这样的以牙还牙实际上会使其他农业出口国受益，因为中国最终可能会从其他国家而不是美国购买更多的商品。IHS Markit亚太区首席经济学家拉吉夫·比斯瓦(Rajiv Biswas)在一封电子邮件中向CNBC表示。

他说:“中国对美国农产品加征关税，可能会对其他农产品出口国造成重大贸易转移，因为中国买家会将牛肉、葡萄酒、水果、大豆和谷物等商品的进口订单转到澳大利亚、新西兰、巴西和欧盟等其他国家。”

这就意味着美国失去了一个主要消费者的市场份额，即使额外的补贴能帮助农民保持国际竞争力，他说。

他补充说：“美国基本上不可能有信心来证明，认为它采取的任何行动都将保护其农业部门不受中国关税的影响，因为其他国家会采取相应的措施。”
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